Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3416
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3416 · PHX → LGB
departs 7:45 PM MT · arrives 8:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 77%
Sat 10/31 39%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
72%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed – in 24h
–
72%
Yes 72%
No 28%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.46 in
LGB (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.