WN 3669 · SAN → SFO

departs 6:44 AM PT · arrives 8:19 AM PT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

SFO (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3669 · SAN → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?