Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3669
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3669 · SAN → PHX
departs 4:23 PM PT · arrives 6:44 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sun 11/1
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
84%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
84%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
84%
Yes 84%
No 16%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.56 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 0.3 mi
Precip 1.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.