Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4277
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 4277 · MDW → ICT
departs 7:10 PM CT · arrives 9:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 38%
Thu 11/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.