Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4896
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 4896 · HOU → OKC
departs 7:44 PM CT · arrives 9:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 28%
Wed 11/4 27%
Thu 11/5 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±5 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.11 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.