Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4923
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 4923 · BNA → BHM
departs 8:01 PM CT · arrives 9:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 46%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 21%
Wed 11/4 23%
Thu 11/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BHM (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.