Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4929
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 4929 · DAL → OKC
departs 7:28 PM CT · arrives 8:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 37%
Thu 11/5 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.