Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4929
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 4929 · DAL → OKC
departs 9:48 PM CT · arrives 11:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 37%
Thu 11/5 35%
Fri 11/6 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.