Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 516 · BNA → CMH
departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 8:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 46%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,067 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.