Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 516 · BNA → CMH
departs 8:37 PM CT · arrives 11:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.58 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.