Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 873
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 873 · BUR → LAS
departs 6:41 PM PT · arrives 7:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 65%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±10 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.