Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 873
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 873 · BUR → LAS
departs 5:56 PM PT · arrives 7:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sun 11/1
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±5 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.