Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 900
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 900 · BUR → PHX
departs 6:53 PM PT · arrives 8:34 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 78%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 23%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±2 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.