Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 900
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 900 · BUR → PHX
departs 5:28 PM PT · arrives 8:08 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 23%
Thu 11/5 38%
Fri 11/6 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
63%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
34%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 1.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.