Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 989
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 989 · DAL → LAS
departs 6:15 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 59%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 34%
Thu 11/5 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 4,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.