Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 989
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 989 · DAL → LAS
departs 6:20 PM CT · arrives 7:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 59%
Sat 10/31 42%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 34%
Thu 11/5 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,167 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.