tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1286 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1286 · MIA → RDU

departs 9:47 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
64% chance · ±5 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    28%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    17%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    9%
  6. Cancelled
    22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.