AA 1368 · ATL → MIA

departs 6:57 PM ET · arrives 9:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

MIA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.80 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1368 · ATL → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?