Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1368 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

AA 1368 · MIA → ATL

departs 6:18 PM ET · arrives 8:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.39 in

ATL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,067 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1368 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?