tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1402 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1402 · TPA → PHX

departs 6:12 PM ET · arrives 9:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
65% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    34%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    38%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    12%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.