Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1417 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

AA 1417 · MYR → CLT

departs 8:10 PM ET · arrives 9:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MYR

Weather at each end

MYR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling8,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1417 · MYR → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?