tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1802 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1802 · SAN → MIA

departs 9:52 PM PT · arrives 5:43 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±4 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7.0d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    71%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.