Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2096 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 2096 · MIA → BNA

departs 10:17 PM ET · arrives 11:44 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.29 in

BNA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2096 · MIA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?