Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2245 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 2245 · MIA → NAS

departs 7:18 PM ET · arrives 8:31 PM EDT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to NAS?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ NAS usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into NAS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.29 in

NAS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2245 · MIA → NAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to NAS?