AA 2328 · LGA → MIA

departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 6:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2328 · LGA → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?