AA 2402 · MIA → LGA

departs 5:04 PM ET · arrives 8:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip1.18 in

LGA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2402 · MIA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?