Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2662 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

AA 2662 · CLT → TUL

departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 7:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2662 · CLT → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?