AA 2797 · CLT → BNA

departs 9:36 PM ET · arrives 10:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

BNA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.65 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2797 · CLT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?