tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2803 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2803 · MIA → MCO

departs 7:19 PM ET · arrives 8:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
71% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    26%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    20%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    12%
  6. Cancelled
    10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.