Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2948 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 2948 · MIA → CHS

departs 10:16 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 10pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MIA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.56 in

CHS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2948 · MIA → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?