tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2952 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2952 · MCO → PHL

departs 6:44 PM ET · arrives 9:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±3 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    51%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    14%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.