Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2976 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 2976 · ORD → CLT

departs 8:54 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±9 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,867 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2976 · ORD → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?