Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2988 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 2988 · CLT → DTW

departs 10:57 PM ET · arrives 12:53 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2988 · CLT → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?