tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3150 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3150 · PHX → SBP

departs 9:11 PM MT · arrives 9:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
65% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 7.0d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SBP?

  1. On time or early
    35%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    20%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    17%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.