AA 652 · MCO → CLT

departs 7:28 PM ET · arrives 9:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.60 in

CLT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 652 · MCO → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?