AA 689 · MIA → PIT

departs 8:57 PM ET · arrives 11:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.79 in

PIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 689 · MIA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?