Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 730 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

AA 730 · CLT → LHR

departs 7:24 PM ET · arrives 7:54 AM GMT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LHR?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LHR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 730 · CLT → LHR

Odds over time

How late will it get to LHR?