Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 768 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

AA 768 · CLT → OKC

departs 8:14 PM ET · arrives 9:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 768 · CLT → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?