AA 835 · BOS → CLT

departs 4:40 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 835 · BOS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?