Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1149
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1149 · MCO → DTW
departs 6:08 PM ET · arrives 8:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 18%
Thu 11/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
20%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.54 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.