Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1234
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1234 · ATL → MIA
departs 8:49 PM ET · arrives 10:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±6 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.