Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1484
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1484 · MSP → DTW
departs 8:39 PM CT · arrives 11:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 22%
Thu 11/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.