Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1496
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1496 · SLC → PHX
departs 10:45 PM MT · arrives 12:31 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 17%
Wed 11/4 15%
Thu 11/5 23%
Fri 11/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±14 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 1.04 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 1.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.