Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1542
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1542 · LAS → MSP
departs 5:55 PM PT · arrives 10:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 18%
Thu 11/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
5pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.