Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1589 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

DL 1589 · ATL → MIA

departs 10:53 PM ET · arrives 12:55 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±5 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 10pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MIA (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1589 · ATL → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?