Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1713 · TUS → ELP
departs 9:32 PM MT · arrives 10:41 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at TUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ELP at that hour are often late
↓
TUS usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TUS (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.79 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.