Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
DL 1713 · TUS → ELP
departs 11:16 AM MT · arrives 12:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at TUS that day
↑
Gusts to 34 kt forecast at ELP that day
↑
ELP is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
11am departures from TUS are usually not late
Weather at each end
TUS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.04 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 6,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.