Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1733
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1733 · MIA → DTW
departs 6:47 PM ET · arrives 9:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 24%
Thu 11/5 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
53%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
6pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.25 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.