Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2089 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

DL 2089 · MSP → SFO

departs 9:40 PM CT · arrives 11:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±8 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2089 · MSP → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?