Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2107
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2107 · MSP → SNA
departs 7:02 PM CT · arrives 9:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/31 33%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 21%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.